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10/2/2025

Rate Cuts, Dry Powder, and the Coming Small-Cap Rally

The Federal Reserve’s latest signal toward additional rate cuts has broad implications for equity markets, but small-cap stocks stand to benefit most prominently. With an estimated $7 trillion in cash and cash-equivalents—often referred to as “dry powder”—sitting on the sidelines, investors are preparing to put capital to work. Much of this capital is housed within private equity funds, institutional investors, and large asset managers, which are all seeking stronger returns as yields on cash and Treasuries decline in a falling-rate environment.

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