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Will these tech unicorns be able to live up to the hype?
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(Note: companies that could be impacted by the content of this article are listed at the base of the story (desktop version). This article uses third-party references to provide a bullish, bearish and balanced point of view; sources listed in the "Balanced" section)

The Initial Public Offerings of privately held unicorn tech companies with valuations over $1 billion from the last decade are going to be available to markets in 2019. Big name tech companies such as ride-hailing companies Uber and Lyft, hospitality service Airbnb, and cloud-based messaging service Slack will, or already are, trading publicly. Last April, the social media site Pinterest was welcomed to the markets. The IPO rush of tech unicorns to market has shown a battle between the listing venues, New York Stock Exchange and NASDAQ, for an important segment of the U.S. economy.



Economic Strength: So far in 2019, multiple IPOs have shown promise due to an economic hot streak and the stock market going up by around 11% in that period of time. The IPO rush is widely regarded as a positive for the U.S. economy and stock markets. The current strengthened economy will lead management and boards to IPOs, with as many as 150 firms being listed. Tierney Remick, vice chairman of Korn Ferry’s Board and CEO Services practice, stated, “When there’s momentum behind IPOs, there’s no question that will impact people’s timing to go forward. It can be kind of a herd mentality.” Analysts have shown that companies and boards appear to be pursuing the route for IPOs.

IPO Exchanges: IPOs provide a multitude of marketing opportunities and economic incentives for exchanges. The closing auctions for trading must be at the company’s primary listing venue, in addition to membership and trading fees. Index-based investing and exchange traded funds have rapidly grown leaving trading in shares to gravitate towards the end portion of the day. Nasdaq has been the long standing go to for emerging tech market companies and maintains a substantial portion of the listings. The NYSE added tech companies such as Snapchat and Spotify in order to revamp its listings, recently gaining Uber as well.

Company Profitability: In April, the bond trading company, TradeWeb, debuted on the Nasdaq at $27 a share and is trading at close to $40 now. In 2018, TradeWeb, an already profitable company, reported net income of $160 million and $684 generated revenue. Investors may be focused on company performance and profitability during a company’s IPO. Lyft’s strong IPO is a sign of market confidence for big name tech companies looking to list and grow, even if they have been previously unprofitable. Multiple unprofitable billion-dollar valuation tech companies will have IPOs in 2019 with plenty of investor interest.



Underwhelming Pricing: Throughout the last year around half of the initial public offerings for companies ended with stock prices trading under offering price. Tech companies have lost key executives before initial public offerings causing them to take a hit. The ride-hailing company, Lyft, debuted on the market at $72 a share on March 28. The price valued the company at near $24 billion, raising $2.34 billion in new capital, even though the company had shown losses. On the first day trading on the Nasdaq, Lyft shares closed at $78. Lyft shares were oversubscribed by up to 20 times. In 2018, Lyft had a 103% year-on-year growth in revenue and a $911 million loss, up from 32% in 2017. In April, Lyft’s shares traded at around $60, showing a decline initial optimism due to the company’s future profitability of the company.

Previous IPOs: The difficulties Lyft had during its initial public offering negatively impacted the market. In April, the social media company, Pinterest, started trading and was expected to price around $22, which was the price sold to private investors. Due to Lyft’s underwhelming performance in market, Pinterest reported in its company SEC filing, pricing at a range from $15 to $17 a share for its IPO. The IPO for Pinterest ultimately priced at $19 a share, which was lower than hoped but higher than the range indicated by the company.

Importance of Management: Boards and directors can underestimate the process needed to effectively and efficiently transition to a publicly traded company. Boards need to add independent directors, to list stock exchanges, and who can help expand into new markets without any volatility or liability. IPO timing is also a crucial aspect with firms not reaching expected valuations instilling fear in both investors and customers. Karen Dempsey, a partner at the law firm Orrick, stated, “Directors know they have to manage risk, but they typically have limited infrastructure and resources to assess what they should be doing.” A company needs talented management and directors who can provide critical support and information while limiting risk to the firm.



Uncertainty: The ride-hailing company, Uber, has had initial valuations of up to $120 billion, which would list at one of the world’s largest companies by market cap. In April 2018, Uber’s SEC IPO filing reported a $1.8 billion net loss on gross bookings of $50 billion. Uber’s large losses and continuously slowing growth throughout the year leads investors to wonder if it can maintain its initial valuation during its IPO. Other loss-making tech unicorns such Palantir and Airbnb are also brought into question as they are private companies without any reported statements on finances. Both companies plan to have IPOs in 2019 even though they are reportedly unprofitable, possibly making investors wary of their profitability and lowering anticipated valuations. Lyft’s post IPO performance was relatively to similar to the performance of other newly listed companies, performing well on its first day of trading and underperforming over the next couple years by around 20%.


Sources:

https://www.ft.com/content/c47fcf64-4fb1-11e9-9c76-bf4a0ce37d49Philip Stafford MARCH 26, 2019

https://www.intuition.com/tech-ipo-rush-tests-market-appetite-for-unprofitable-companies/Ruairi ODonnellan

https://www.kornferry.com/institute/ipos-whats-the-rushMay 21, 2019

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4264936-ipo-rush-promise-perilDaniel Shvartsman May 18, 2019





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  Research - Great Panther Silver (GPL) - Production numbers slightly lower than expected, 04/11/2019
  Research - Aurania Resources (ARU:CA) - Another promising copper target, 04/10/2019
  News - Could renewables supply 50% of all generation? How about 80%?, 04/05/2019
  Research - One Stop Systems (OSS) - Initiation of Research Coverage, 04/04/2019
  News - Stock Buybacks: Good, evil, or maybe something in between?, 04/03/2019
  Research - Prize Mining (PRZ:CA) - Behind the recent deal, 04/03/2019
  Research - Aurania Resources (ARU:CA) - Updates on copper production, 04/03/2019
  News - Macular Edema: The search for the cure continues, 04/02/2019
  Research - Trovagene (TROV) - Update on data readout, 04/02/2019
  Research - Trovagene (TROV) - Updated prostate cancer data, 04/02/2019
  Research - Sierra Metals (SMTS) - 2018 full year recap, 04/01/2019
  Research - Albany International (AIN) - Appoints new CFO, 04/01/2019
  Research - Pyxis Tankers (PXS) - 2018 financial update, 03/29/2019
  Research - Dyadic (DYAI) - 2018 full year update, 03/28/2019
  Podcast Launch: The Science of Investing in Biotechs, 03/28/2019
  A Video Introduction to Enochian Biosciences, 03/28/2019
  Official Trailer: NEW Podcast Series- Icons of Business, Leaders of Emerging Companies, 03/26/2019
  Research - Information Services (III) - Favorable risk/reward moving forward, 03/25/2019
  Research - Torchlight Energy - Strong updates on project estimates, 03/25/2019
  Research - 1-800-Flowers.com (FLWS) - Investor Day Highlights, 03/25/2019
  Research - Prize Mining (PRZ:CA) - Initiation of Research Coverage, 03/25/2019
  News - The Case for Dr. Copper: New Sources of Demand are Positive for Copper, 03/25/2019
  Research - Cumulus Media (CMLS) - Raising Price Target, 03/22/2019
  Research - Pangaea Logistics (PANL) - Business Model/Strategy Shine, 03/22/2019
  Research - Seanergy (SHIP) - What do the results show?, 03/21/2019
  Research - E.W. Scripps - Analysis of recent acquisitions, 03/21/2019
  Research - ProMIS Neurosciences (PMN:CA) - Potential opportunity in Alzheimer's , 03/21/2019
  Research - Genie Energy (GNE) - Initiation Report, 03/20/2019
  Research - E.W. Scripps (SSP) - Acquiring stations, building portfolio, 03/20/2019
  Research - Tegna (TGNA) - Acquisition highlights, 03/20/2019
  Research - Information Services (III) - 2019 growth possibilities, 03/18/2019
  Research - Tribune Publishing (TPCO) - Behind the numbers , 03/18/2019
  Research - Harte-Hanks (HHS) - The focus towards growth, 03/15/2019
  Research - Information Services (III) - Q4 review; the full story, 03/15/2019
  News - Artificial Intelligence: Can an algorithm do what you do?, 03/14/2019
  Research - Townsquare Media (TSQ) - Quarter over delivers, 03/14/2019
  Research - Tribune Publishing (TPCO) - Looking forward into 2019, 03/14/2019
  Research - KeyW (KEYW) - What will drive 2019 performance?, 03/13/2019
  Research - Townsquare Media (TSQ) - Revenues surprise, 03/13/2019
  Research - Salem Media (SALM) - Looking past the first quarter 2019, 03/13/2019
  Research - Energy Fuels (UUUU) - Updating estimates, 03/13/2019
  News - CRISPR-Cas9: Editing away sickness, 03/13/2019
  Research - Gannett (GCI) - Favorable risk/reward, 03/12/2019
  Research - Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL) - Deeper dive in 2Q19 results, 03/12/2019
  Research - Euroseas (ESEA) - Lowering Price Target, 03/12/2019
  Research - Aurania Resources (ARU:CA) - New drilling has commenced, Funding secured, 03/11/2019
  Research - Great Lakes Dredge (GLDD) - Investor Meeting Highlights, 03/11/2019
  News - Green New Deal: Environment Savior or Economy Destroyer?, 03/08/2019
  Research - McClatchy (MNI) - Outlook for 2019, 03/08/2019
  Research - Trovagene (TROV) - 2018 full year update, 03/08/2019
  News - Do We Need to Prepare for War in Space?, 03/07/2019
  Research - Eagle Shipping (EGLE) - Long-term outlook positive, 03/07/2019
  Research - Comtech (CMTL) - Exceeds 2Q quarterly expectations, 03/07/2019
  Research - Kratos Defense (KTOS) - Drone prospect takes flight, 03/07/2019
  News - DNA Data Storage: The Future of Informatics, 03/06/2019
  Research - Genco Shipping (GNK) - 4Q18 Results Surprise , 03/06/2019
  Research - E.W. Scripps (SSP) - Raising Price Target, 03/05/2019
  NobleConXV Panel - Marketing Early-Stage Natural Resource Companies to Investors, 03/05/2019
  Research - Tegna (TGNA) - Looking towards subscriber growth in 2019, 03/04/2019
  Research - Great Panther Silver (GPL) - Expectations in line, 03/04/2019
  Research - Kratos Defense (KTOS) - Acquisition announced, 03/01/2019
  Research - Gray Television (GTN) - 2018 full year results, 03/01/2019
  Research - Avino Silver (ASM) - Increasing 2019 estimates, 03/01/2019
  Research - Ducommun (DCO) - 2018, the inflection year, 03/01/2019
  News - Merger Mania Hits the Mining Space, 03/01/2019
  News - Electric Cars: Time to plug in?, 02/28/2019
  News - Could the US Have More Oil than the Saudis?!, 02/27/2019
  News - Cannabiz: Growing Like a Weed, 02/26/2019
  Research - Cumulus Media (CMLS) - Earnings preview, 02/26/2019
  News - Legalizing Sports Gambling: Place Your Bets, 02/25/2019
  News - Alzheimer’s, Cannibals, and the Scientist Who Saw the Connection, 02/22/2019
  Research - Cumulus Media (CMLS) - Raising price target, 02/14/2019
  News - High-yield bonds: Trash or Treasure?, 02/13/2019
  News - Trump vs Obama: Who did the first two years better?, 02/12/2019
  A MUST WATCH - panel of key opinion leaders - a cure for diabetes, 02/11/2019
  The business of cannabis - WATCH an industry panel break it all down, 02/11/2019
  WORTH READING - Electric Cars, OPEC Today, FED Impact, 02/11/2019
  Channelchek in Forbes - referenced as a gatekeeper for emerging growth companies, 02/11/2019
  NobleConXV Keynote Address, 02/05/2019
  NobleConXV Webcasts, 02/04/2019
  News - The Great Wall of America, 01/24/2019
  News - Is OPEC still king of oil?, 01/24/2019
  News - End of an Era: Sears Struggles to Survive, 01/23/2019
  News - Buybacks: Who benefits?, 01/21/2019
  News - Robinhood: Could it steal customers from the banks?, 12/31/2018
  News - Holiday Havoc: Why December turned into a tough time for investors, 12/27/2018
  News - The Fed raised its rates, now what?, 12/19/2018
  News - Polo-like kinases inhibitors are novel drug targets of cancer therapeutics, 12/14/2018
  News - Can manufacturing keep up with demand for biologic drugs?, 12/04/2018
  News - HIV - Could there be a cure?, 12/01/2018
  News - Gold - Trending Up?, 11/27/2018
  Welcome to Channelchek video, 11/20/2018
  News - Cancer - Harnessing the power of immune system, 11/15/2018
  News - Cancer - Gene therapy, what the future holds, 11/15/2018
  News - Alzheimer’s - The race to a better treatment, 11/15/2018
  News - Trump – Is he right to withdraw from INF?, 11/15/2018
  News - Cancer – Is combination therapy the answer?, 11/15/2018
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