Monday, February 05, 2024
Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Management releases initial fiscal 2025 guidance. Management projects sales of $1.5-$1.6 billion (Noble est. $1.57b), adjusted ebitda of $300-$350 million ($345m), and adjusted diluted EPS of $4.25-$4.75 ($4.50). Guidance assumes $10-$12m of income from its unconsolidated subsidiary ($9.3m), capital expenditures of $100-$120m ($90m), and $60-$100m of debt deleverage ($40m). Management assumes working capital improvements which we have not assumed in our models. Management also reconfirmed fiscal 2024 guidance.
We are not changing our estimates, but will monitor the areas in which we differ with guidance. Our model projects estimates that at the high end of the range for sales and adjusted ebitda but below unconsolidated sub earnings, capital expenditures, and debt reduction. Given that our estimates are generally in line with guidance, we are not making changes at this time. Instead, we will monitor the discrepancies quarterly and make adjustments as needed.
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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
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