Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI) – A Tough Start to 2024

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Tuesday, May 07, 2024

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A Tough Start. While the year-over-year comparison was expected to be difficult given the record top-line performance in 1Q23 and the expected decline in Class 8 truck production, first quarter 2024 results missed our and consensus estimates. However, 1Q24 results did improve sequentially. The one bright spot remains the Electrical Systems business, which posted top-line improvement y-o-y, although operating segment operating income declined, partly due to restructuring costs.

1Q24. Revenue declined 11.6% y-o-y to $232.1 million, below our $244 million estimate and the consensus $241 million estimate. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $12.7 million, down 35.9% y-o-y. We had forecast $15.5 million, and consensus was at $16.1 million. CVG reported adjusted net income of $4.4 million, or EPS of $0.13, versus adjusted net income of $9.2 million, or $0.28/sh in 1Q23. We were at $6.7 million and $0.20/sh, with consensus also at $0.20/sh.

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