Movers and SHAKERS
First quarter results meet expectations, but real story is plant progression
Gevo’s mission is to transform renewable energy and carbon into energy-dense liquid hydrocarbons. These liquid hydrocarbons can be used for drop-in transportation fuels such as gasoline, jet fuel, and diesel fuel, that when burned have potential to yield net-zero greenhouse gas emissions when measured across the full lifecycle of the products. Gevo uses low-carbon renewable resource-based carbohydrates as raw materials, and is in an advanced state of developing renewable electricity and renewable natural gas for use in production processes, resulting in low-carbon fuels with substantially reduced carbon intensity (the level of greenhouse gas emissions compared to standard petroleum fossil-based fuels across their lifecycle). Gevo’s products perform as well or better than traditional fossil-based fuels in infrastructure and engines, but with substantially reduced greenhouse gas emissions. In addition to addressing the problems of fuels, Gevo’s technology also enables certain plastics, such as polyester, to be made with more sustainable ingredients. Gevo’s ability to penetrate the growing low-carbon fuels market depends on the price of oil and the value of abating carbon emissions that would otherwise increase greenhouse gas emissions. Gevo believes that its proven, patented, technology enabling the use of a variety of low-carbon sustainable feedstocks to produce price-competitive low carbon products such as gasoline components, jet fuel, and diesel fuel yields the potential to generate project and corporate returns that justify the build-out of a multi-billion-dollar business.
Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.Gevo reported revenues of $0.2m versus $0.1m, operating income of ($16.0m) versus ($9.9m) and net income of ($15.7m) versus ($10.1m). Results were in line with our expectations. The company's cash position is solid at $413 million, and the company is already planning out its financing for plant development. Plans call for the combined use of nonrecourse project financing, corporate debt and shareholder investments.
Projects are moving forward. In January, Gevo announced it had begun the process of bringing its dairy manure-based project online in order to apply for credits. The credits could contribute $16-$20 million annually, and management is prepared for timing issues between production and receipt of credits. In March, it signed several "take-or-pay" agreements with airlines to provide jet fuel made from ethanol at its Net Zero One plant. In total, Gevo has contracts for 200m gallons of fuel annually and has stated a goal of delivering 1 billion gallons of fuel by 2030. Plant operations are on track, although management indicated it has used up some of the slack assumed in its timeline. ...
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.