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Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP) – Outlook Remains Favorable; Nudging Up 2022 Estimates

Natural Resources
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Friday, October 21, 2022

ARLP is a diversified natural resource company that generates operating and royalty income from coal produced by its mining complexes and royalty income from mineral interests it owns in strategic oil & gas producing regions in the United States, primarily the Permian, Anadarko and Williston basins. ARLP currently produces coal from seven mining complexes its subsidiaries operate in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland and West Virginia. ARLP also operates a coal loading terminal on the Ohio River at Mount Vernon, Indiana. ARLP markets its coal production to major domestic and international utilities and industrial users and is currently the second largest coal producer in the eastern United States. In addition, ARLP is positioning itself as an energy provider for the future by leveraging its core technology and operating competencies to make strategic investments in the fast growing energy and infrastructure transition.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Updating estimates. Coal prices continued to exhibit strength during the third quarter and we believe the outlook for oil and gas prices remains favorable. We have increased our 2022 adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPU estimates to $951.9 million and $4.90 from $945.3 and $4.85, respectively. Our 2023 estimates remain unchanged. We have assumed the partnership declares third and fourth quarter per unit cash distributions of $0.45 and $0.50, respectively. 

New Ventures team. Alliance recently announced the formation of a New Ventures team, led by Andrew Woodward and Matthew Lewis, to make strategic investments in energy and infrastructure that promote decarbonization. The team will identify, develop, and execute commercial opportunities outside of the company’s existing businesses to enhance growth and the company’s ability to serve the evolving energy needs of the market.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

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