Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP) – Strong Start to 2024; Outlook Remains Favorable

Natural Resources
0 min read

Wednesday, May 01, 2024

ARLP is a diversified natural resource company that generates operating and royalty income from coal produced by its mining complexes and royalty income from mineral interests it owns in strategic oil & gas producing regions in the United States, primarily the Permian, Anadarko and Williston basins. ARLP currently produces coal from seven mining complexes its subsidiaries operate in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland and West Virginia. ARLP also operates a coal loading terminal on the Ohio River at Mount Vernon, Indiana. ARLP markets its coal production to major domestic and international utilities and industrial users and is currently the second largest coal producer in the eastern United States. In addition, ARLP is positioning itself as an energy provider for the future by leveraging its core technology and operating competencies to make strategic investments in the fast growing energy and infrastructure transition.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

First quarter financial results. Alliance reported first quarter EBITDA and earnings per unit (EPU) of $235.0 million and $1.21, respectively, compared to $270.9 million and $1.45 during the prior year period. We had forecast EBITDA and EPU of $209.7 million and $0.97. Coal sales price realizations were above the high end of the partnership’s annual guidance range, while the oil & gas royalty segment experienced record volumes. Additionally, operating expenses were lower than expected and the company benefited from an $11.9 million mark-to-market change in the value of digital assets.

Updating estimates. We have increased our 2024 EBITDA and EPU estimates to $871.3 million and $4.14 from $841.1 million and $3.90, respectively. We think our forward estimates could be conservative based on the potential for higher average coal sales price realizations and stronger than expected performance from the partnership’s oil and gas royalty segment.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 


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