CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – A Significant Loss – Moving to Market Perform

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Wednesday, June 12, 2024

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

South Texas. ICE has informed CoreCivic of its intention to terminate the existing agreement for use of the South Texas Family Residential Center effective August 9th. This is a major blow, at least in the short-term, to CoreCivic. We are lowering our rating to Market Perform from Outperform as a result until the smoke clears.

Financial Impact. The 2,400 bed South Texas is CoreCivic’s most important contract, in our opinion. In 2023, the facility generated over 8% of overall revenue. Management estimates the annualized EPS impact to be a reduction of $0.38-$0.41 due to the closure. The Company has suspended its 2024 financial guidance. Facility population as of June 9th was 1,561.

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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 


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