CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Raising Price Target to $17, Post Call Commentary

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Monday, February 12, 2024

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

ICE Pops — Where Do We Go From Here? ICE detainee population grew to 38,498 at the end of January, up from 36,845 at the end of the Federal government fiscal year. But CR funding remains at 34,000 beds. With the CR ending March 8th, it is unclear if a budget will pass and where funding will end up. The recent Senate discussions had suggested a 50,000 bed level, but it is unclear where negotiations go from here. CoreCivic ICE pops were down modestly to a current 11,334 from 11,800 in November, reflecting normal seasonality.

Margins. With higher populations across federal, state, and local partners, higher occupancy rates, normalizing staffing cost and inflation, and per diem increase, operating margin improved in 4Q23. We anticipate additional improvement in 2024. Notably, the Community segment operating margin rose to 33.4% in the quarter, up from 22.2% last year.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 


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