Tuesday, May 05, 2026
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Q1′ 2026 financial results. RAIL generated a Q1′ 2026 adj. net loss of $479 thousand or $(0.04) per share, compared to adj. net income of $1.6 million or $0.05 per share in Q1′ 2025. We had projected net income of $550 thousand or $0.02 per share. Revenue declined to $64.3 million compared to $96.3 million during the prior year period, while railcar deliveries fell to 577 compared to 710 units in the prior year period and our estimate of 700 units. Manufacturing segment and aftermarket segment revenues were $53.0 million and $11.4 million, respectively, compared to our estimates of $70.0 million and $8.0 million. Gross profit for the manufacturing and aftermarket segments amounted to $7.3 million and $3.5 million, respectively. Adj. EBITDA declined to $3.2 million compared to $6.4 million in Q1′ 2025 and our estimate of $5.8 million.
FY 2026 guidance maintained. Management reiterated its FY 2026 guidance. Railcar deliveries are expected to be in the range of 4,000 to 4,500, revenue in the range of $500 to $550 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $41 to $50 million. While Q1’ 26 rail car deliveries and revenue were significantly below our expectations and leave a lot of room to catch up, management indicated that RAIL’s order backlog of 2,058 units valued at $156.0 million, productivity improvements, flexible manufacturing footprint, and disciplined commercial approach provide visibility into its full-year expectations.
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