Monday, March 30, 2026
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Hans Baldau, Associate Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Updating estimates. We revised our FY 2026 estimates to reflect lower margins in the first and second quarters. While our full year revenue, EBITDA, and EPS estimates are unchanged, the quarterly allocations have shifted. We forecast first quarter revenue, EBITDA, and EPS of $86.0 million, $7.0 million, and $0.04, respectively, compared to our prior estimates of $89.0 million, $8.8 million, and $0.08. We have assumed growing Aftermarket segment revenue throughout the year. Our FY 2026 revenue, EBITDA, and EPS estimates remain $525.0 million, $44.5 million, and $0.54, respectively.
Lowering 1H’ 2026 expectations. We think the first quarter of 2026 will reflect the fewest deliveries during the year, along with a less favorable product mix. Accordingly, we expect 2026 deliveries, revenue, and earnings to be weighted toward the second half of the year, supported by higher volumes, an improved product mix, and increased contributions from new builds and retrofit programs.
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