Thursday, August 20, 2026
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Q2 results preview. We expect GDEV’s second-quarter results to reflect continued disciplined user acquisition spending and a focus on profitable growth. For context, Q1 revenue increased 2% to $99 million, while adjusted EBITDA increased 15% to $18 million, benefiting from a 13% decline in selling and marketing expense, as illustrated in Figure #1 Q1 Results. The return to top-line growth, following a revenue decline in fiscal 2025, is encouraging.
Facing a difficult revenue comparison. Q2 will lap a relatively strong year-ago quarter, when revenue increased 13% to $120 million, driven in part by elevated performance marketing investment. As such, we believe the more important read-through will be the company’s ability to sustain engagement and monetization while maintaining its more disciplined approach to marketing expenditures.
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