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Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) – Updated Model; Raising Price Target

Industrials
0 min read


Thursday, January 29, 2026

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation is the largest provider of dredging services in the United States. In addition, Great Lakes is fully engaged in expanding its core business into the rapidly developing offshore wind energy industry. The Company has a long history of performing significant international projects. The Company employs experienced civil, ocean and mechanical engineering staff in its estimating, production and project management functions. In its over 131-year history, the Company has never failed to complete a marine project. Great Lakes owns and operates the largest and most diverse fleet in the U.S. dredging industry, comprised of approximately 200 specialized vessels. Great Lakes has a disciplined training program for engineers that ensures experienced-based performance as they advance through Company operations. The Company’s Incident-and Injury-Free® (IIF®) safety management program is integrated into all aspects of the Company’s culture. The Company’s commitment to the IIF® culture promotes a work environment where employee safety is paramount.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Updated Model. We tweaked our 4Q25 projections to include higher expected interest expense and the projected $3 million charge related to the payoff of the second lien term loan. As a result, our 4Q25 EPS estimate drops to $0.22 from a prior $0.26. The drop is not related to operational performance, and the debt swap will reduce overall interest expense going forward.

Cash Flow. With the completion of the new build program in early 2026, we expect Great Lakes to use the substantial free cash flow generation towards debt reduction. Over the past 5 years, capex has averaged $136 million annually. Roughly $25 million is for maintenance capex, and we do expect some additional capex as Great Lakes modernizes its fleet. Nonetheless, we estimate there should be at least $90 million on an annual basis for debt reduction.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

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