Haynes International (HAYN) – Refining 2023 Estimates

Natural Resources
0 min read

Friday, November 10, 2023

Haynes International, Inc. is a leading developer, manufacturer and marketer of technologically advanced, nickel and cobalt-based high-performance alloys, primarily for use in the aerospace, industrial gas turbine and chemical processing industries.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Updating estimates. We have trimmed our fiscal year 2023 EBITDA and EPS estimates to $80.6 million and $3.22 from $81.2 million and $3.25 per share. Our estimates reflect lower gross margins during the September quarter due to the negative impact of raw material fluctuations. Our September EBITDA and EPS estimates were lowered to $23.2 million and $0.97 from $23.7 million and $1.00. We are making no changes to our 2024 estimates and expect Haynes to provide guidance for fiscal 2024 when it reports results for fiscal year 2023. We still expect the September quarter will be Haynes’ strongest of the fiscal year in terms of volumes shipped, net revenues, and earnings.

Strong order backlog. Orders during the June quarter resulted in a record backlog of $468.1 million and represented a 4.8% increase compared to the prior quarter and a 38.4% increase on a year-over-year basis. Backlog pounds increased 3.2% during the third quarter to approximately 14.6 million pounds and increased 20.7% compared to the prior year period driven by strong demand in the aerospace and industrial gas turbine markets. In our view, the strong order book is indicative of the company’s strong competitive position and favorable outlook.

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