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Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – Moving Rating to Market Perform after Sharp Rise in Stock Price

Consumer
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Monday, November 27, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Moving to Market Perform. With the shares exceeding our recently instituted $13 price target, we are lowering our rating to Market Perform from Outperform. While we remain impressed with operating results, we believe a good portion of the recent share performance is being driven in anticipation of a sale of the Company, which we do not believe is imminent.

Stock Performance. LWAY shares are up 82% since closing at $9.38 on November 13th. While we believe the sell off in the shares following strong operating results was unwarranted, the subsequent price rebound has exceeded our $13 price target. To maintain an Outperform rating, our PT would need to exceed $19.50, which we believe would have LWAY shares “priced to perfection” from an operating standpoint, which, given the uncertain state of the economy, is a stretch in our view.


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