Netflix is set to report fourth quarter earnings Tuesday afternoon amid one of the most consequential moments in the streaming giant’s history—a high-stakes bidding war for Warner Bros. Discovery that could fundamentally reshape the entertainment landscape.
Wall Street expects Netflix to post revenue of $11.96 billion for the quarter, up from $10.25 billion in the same period last year. Adjusted earnings per share are projected at $0.55, in line with company guidance. For the full fiscal year, analysts anticipate revenue of $45.1 billion alongside adjusted earnings of $2.52 per share. First quarter revenue is expected to reach $10.54 billion with adjusted earnings of $0.66 per share.
However, subscriber growth and content spending metrics may take a backseat to the elephant in the room: Netflix’s amended all-cash offer of $27.75 per share for Warner Bros. Discovery, valuing the deal at $72 billion in equity. The revised proposal comes as Netflix faces stiff competition from Paramount Skydance, which has offered $30 per share, or $108 billion, for the entire company including cable and news assets. Netflix’s bid specifically targets Warner Bros.’ film and streaming properties, excluding the Discovery Global assets.
The acquisition represents a dramatic strategic shift for Netflix, which has historically relied on organic growth and original content production rather than major acquisitions. Manhattan Venture Partners’ head of research Santosh Rao emphasized that as the industry leader, Netflix must maintain its competitive advantage, particularly as its growth rate shows signs of slowing.
The market has responded skeptically to the acquisition plans. Netflix shares have tumbled nearly 27% over the past six months, declining steadily since the company announced its Warner Bros. pursuit in late 2025. Investors appear concerned about the financial burden and integration challenges of such a massive acquisition, particularly as streaming competition intensifies and subscriber growth moderates.
While Netflix no longer discloses subscriber figures, Wall Street estimates total streaming memberships now exceed 325 million—representing approximately 8% year-over-year growth. That’s a significant slowdown from the 16% growth rate posted in the fourth quarter of 2023 and 13% growth between 2022 and 2023. The deceleration underscores why Netflix may be pursuing inorganic growth through acquisition rather than relying solely on its traditional playbook.
CFRA analyst Kenneth Leon has cautioned that the acquisition uncertainty could weigh on the stock for 18 to 24 months, with outcomes remaining unclear. He noted that Netflix would likely need to sell assets to manage the debt load from such a substantial transaction. The concern is valid—a $72 billion all-cash deal would substantially increase Netflix’s leverage and potentially constrain its ability to invest aggressively in content, the very fuel that powered its dominance.
Warner Bros. Discovery’s board has unanimously endorsed the Netflix offer, with leadership highlighting that the all-cash structure provides greater certainty for shareholders while allowing them to participate in the strategic value of the remaining Discovery Global assets. Netflix co-CEO Ted Sarandos has expressed strong confidence that the proposed combination would benefit all stakeholders, from investors to content creators.
Despite near-term headwinds, some analysts maintain a constructive long-term view. Rao acknowledged legitimate concerns about the immediate impact but argued that the acquisition would ultimately strengthen Netflix’s content library, production capabilities, and overall competitive position in an increasingly crowded streaming marketplace.
As Netflix reports earnings, investors will scrutinize not just the quarterly numbers, but management’s commentary on the acquisition rationale, financing plans, and vision for integrating one of Hollywood’s most storied studios into the streaming era’s dominant platform. The results could provide critical insights into whether Netflix can successfully execute this transformative deal while maintaining the operational excellence that made it an industry leader.
