Seanergy Maritime (SHIP) – Model Fine Tuned For Lower Shipping Rates and Higher Interest Rates

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Friday, October 21, 2022

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. is the only pure-play Capesize ship-owner publicly listed in the US. Seanergy provides marine dry bulk transportation services through a modern fleet of Capesize vessels. The Company’s operating fleet consists of 17 Capesize vessels with an average age of approximately 12 years and aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,011,083 dwt. The Company is incorporated in the Marshall Islands and has executive offices in Glyfada, Greece. The Company’s common shares trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “SHIP” and its Class B warrants under “SHIPZ”.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

We are making adjustments to our models to reflect lower shipping rates. Dry bulk shipping rates have been weak in the third quarter. As a result, we are lowering the assumed rate for uncommitted ships to $19,500/day from $23,650/day. Management guided analysts to a $23,650/day number when reporting second quarter results but now believes the rate will be below $20,000/day. Every $1,000 reduction in uncommitted daily TCE rates reduces net income by $1.1 million or $0.01 per share.

We are also raising our interest expense estimate to reflect higher interest rates. We are raising our third quarter interest expense estimate to $5.0 million from $3.5 million to reflect higher LIBOR rates. LIBOR rates have increased from 0.1% to more than 4.0% in the last twelve months.  We are also formally incorporating the $28 million term loan that was announced last week into our models.

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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 


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