Sierra Metals (SMTS) – Third Quarter Production Disappoints; Rating Lowered to Market Perform

Natural Resources
0 min read

Wednesday, October 26, 2022

Sierra Metals Inc. is a diversified Canadian mining company with Green Metal exposure including increasing copper production and base metal production with precious metals byproduct credits, focused on the production and development of its Yauricocha Mine in Peru, and Bolivar and Cusi Mines in Mexico. The Company is focused on increasing production volume and growing mineral resources. Sierra Metals has recently had several new key discoveries and still has many more exciting brownfield exploration opportunities at all three Mines in Peru and Mexico that are within close proximity to the existing mines. Additionally, the Company also has large land packages at all three mines with several prospective regional targets providing longer-term exploration upside and mineral resource growth potential.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Operational challenges negatively impact production. During the third quarter, Sierra Metals produced 6.3 million pounds of copper, 3.9 million pounds of lead, 10.8 million pounds of zinc, 2.2 thousand ounces of gold, and 669 thousand ounces of silver. On a sequential basis, copper and gold production declined 24% and 16%, respectively, while lead, silver, and zinc production increased 16%, 10%, and 4%, respectively. On a copper equivalent basis, production declined 7% sequentially and was below our estimate. Production was negatively impacted, among other things, by a mudslide  at the Yauricocha mine and flooding in the NorthWest Zone at the Bolivar mine.

Updating estimates. We have lowered our 2022 EBITDA and EPS estimates to $29.9 million and $(0.08) per share from $44.6 million and $(0.01) per share. We have lowered our 2023 EBITDA and EPS estimates to $76.1 million and $0.12 per share. Operational uncertainty associated with production at the company’s mines clouds our confidence in 2023 estimates. Sierra will release third quarter results after the market close on November 14 and will host an investor call on November 15 at 11:00 am ET.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 


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